CryptoQuant: 90% Bitcoin Supply in Profit Signals Crucial Market Turning Point

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By Jason Walker

The Bitcoin market is currently exhibiting a significant indicator of potential turning points, with an estimated 90% of its circulating supply held in profit. This elevated level, as highlighted by analytics firm CryptoQuant, historically signals a critical juncture in market cycles, often preceding periods of heightened investor euphoria or indicating the approach of a corrective phase.

  • Bitcoin’s market shows signs of potential turning points.
  • An estimated 90% of its circulating supply is currently held in profit.
  • This metric, identified by CryptoQuant, suggests a critical market juncture.
  • Historically, such levels precede either heightened investor euphoria or market corrections.

Understanding Market Thresholds

According to CryptoQuant’s analysis, the 90% threshold for profitable Bitcoin supply serves as a key metric for evaluating market phases. Historically, sustained periods above this level have often coincided with intense market exuberance, while a decline below this point has frequently foreshadowed market corrections. The long-term average for this metric, derived from historical data, hovers around 75%, underscoring the current position’s exceptional nature.

Observation of past market cycles reveals a consistent pattern: bullish trends typically see more than 90% of the Bitcoin supply held in profit, whereas the onset of bear markets often follows a drop below this critical percentage. Furthermore, market bottoms have historically materialized when the proportion of profitable Bitcoin falls below the 50% mark. This suggests that while a high percentage of profitable coins fuels market momentum, it also sets the stage for potential profit-taking and re-evaluation.

These insights align with recent observations from other analytics platforms. Glassnode, for instance, has noted a reduction in overall activity within the Bitcoin network. Concurrently, their data indicates that long-term holders, often considered the bedrock of the market, are actively realizing profits. This behavior, occurring while a substantial portion of the supply remains profitable, suggests a cautious approach from seasoned investors, potentially balancing the prevailing market sentiment and influencing future price movements.

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