Bitcoin Rebound Incoming? Expert Predicts Weekend Turnaround After 6 Weeks of Losses

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By Tyler Matthews

Will Bitcoin Rebound This Weekend? Analysis Suggests Potential for Recovery

Bitcoin (BTC) is potentially poised for a recovery phase this weekend, breaking a string of six consecutive weekends of negative returns. According to a leading analyst specializing in digital assets, Bitcoin’s weekend performance has been consistently lackluster since the start of January. This trend is largely attributed to impactful news headlines and various external market forces.

In a research note published on February 14th, the analyst emphasized that recent downward movements have been correlated with several news events, including instability surrounding specific blockchain projects and concerns about tariffs that surfaced in mid-February. However, despite these challenges, a growing sentiment suggests that improved macroeconomic conditions and a decrease in U.S. Treasury yields could create a more advantageous environment for a positive weekend outcome.

“Considering the downturn triggered by recent unfavorable news and the significant decrease in U.S. 10-year yields—now below 4.5%—there’s optimism that this weekend’s performance might be different,” the expert stated.

Examining Market Dynamics

An analysis of Bitcoin’s performance across different days of the week in 2024 reveals some interesting patterns. Data indicates that trading volume is generally higher on Mondays and Fridays, while weekend sessions have been relatively subdued. This underperformance during weekends is likely due to decreased liquidity and a more conservative trading strategy adopted by investors.

The analyst highlighted that even a slight improvement in market sentiment over the weekend could lead to renewed investment into Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) on Monday, potentially assisting the cryptocurrency in breaking out of its current trading range.

“A minor positive movement over the weekend could encourage ETF investors to re-enter the market on Monday, especially following a week characterized by ETF outflows,” he elaborated.

Looking forward, Bitcoin’s price could soon test significant resistance levels around $100,000 and $102,500. Despite the recent headwinds, the digital asset remains in an overall upward trajectory, having increased by more than 20% since the beginning of the year.

The Influence of Broader Economic Factors

Beyond its technical aspects, Bitcoin’s price is also being influenced by wider shifts in the macroeconomic landscape. Following weaker-than-expected U.S. inflation figures—including reports from both the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Producer Price Index (PPI)—investors have witnessed a reduction in Treasury yields. The 10-year Treasury yield, which is now below 4.5%, has served as a positive signal for risk-on assets like Bitcoin.

Furthermore, market optimism has been fueled by evolving geopolitical conditions. There is cautious optimism that improvements in international relations could further increase confidence in risk assets, potentially paving the way for Bitcoin to reach higher price levels.

Considering these elements, the analyst maintains a bullish outlook on Bitcoin. If these favorable conditions persist, Bitcoin could be on track to move towards the $102,500 level in the short term. At the time of this analysis, Bitcoin was trading at approximately $97,348, representing a 2% increase over the past 24 hours.

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